Horse Racing, Santa Anita Park, 10/16/11

Post Time 1 p.m.

Race 1 – 1 1/16th miles, Purse $21,000, Claiming $16,000, 3-year-olds and up

6 Joe Carl – Claimed by Bob Hess and well spotted to win right off the bat; closer can route and finish.

3 Balboa Bay – For forgiving handicappers who must excuse his last; his prior races are good enough to win.

Long Shot – 4 Guiding Hand

Race 2 – 1 mile, Purse $24,000, Claiming $20,000, 3-year-olds

4 Rhythm in May – Claimed by Mike Mitchell which is a high-win angle in SoCal; was a ship-and-win horse last out.

2 Gatheratthealter – Has won 3 of 4 recent starts showing a killer instinct; red-flag win and dropped in class.

Long Shot – 5 Orbach

Race 3 – 6 1/2 furlongs (turf), Purse $45,000, Maiden special weights, Fillies, 2-year-olds

3 Fly Solo – Was flattered when Indecisive won next out; been working well and should improve in second start.

5 She’s a Minx – Chased a good one in Customer Base last time; that filly will be running at Keeneland next Wednesday.

Long Shot – 6 Mi Vida

Race 4 – 6 furlongs, Purse $17,000, Claiming $10,000, 3-year-olds and up

5 Mark of a Warrior – Claimed by Robertino Diodoro and spotted well to win; 7 of 17 wins lifetime, a solid resume.

4 Devils Afleet – Like horses that won while running a lower Beyer; has winning ways and is not outclassed.

Long Shot – 3 Joyful Success

Race 5 – 6 furlongs, Purse $45,000, Maiden special weights, Fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up

6 Forever Neda – Been rested since racing at Hollywood Park; Bruce Headley was not a fan of the Del Mar surface.

4 Blazing Along – Bob Baffert cull has proven to succumb in the deep stretch; hard to use on top when quitting late.

Long Shot – 1 Ava Pie

Race 6 – 6 1/2 furlongs (turf), Purse $45,000, Maiden special weights, 2-year-olds

11 Mental Giant – Like the turn back in distance for down-the-hill sod sprint; figures to be closing like a banshee.

10 Already There – Beaten favorite will try turf for the first time; figures to be forwardly placed for Peter Miller.

Long Shot – 12 Blueskiesnrainbows

Race 7 – 1 mile, Purse $27,000, Starter allowance $40,000, 2-year-olds

1 Senor Rain – Why is a good Indiana bred wasting his time in SoCal?; did everything but win a stakes at Hoosier Park.

4 Quality Elusion – Terry Knight takes over for this Cash Asmussen trainee; showed true grit breaking his maiden in last.

Long Shot – 2 Inquisitive Son

Race 8 – 1 mile (turf), $100,000 Harold C. Ramser, Sr., Fillies, 3-year-olds

1 Bauble Queen – Can get a ground-saving trip from the rail; like the inside even more at a mile, short run to the turn.

2 Sarah’s Secret – Lost for the first time in last after 4 victories; dueled with a good one, Mizdirection, in last.

Long Shot – 10 Up In Time

Race 9 – 6 1/2 furlongs, Purse $22,000, Maiden claiming $30,000, Fillies, 2-year-olds

7 Tap It Twice – Huge class drop from Fairplex stakes for maiden claiming; need not be much to beat this slow bunch.

3 Kvell – Has burned a lot of money as a 3-time beaten favorite; still a chance to inherit the lead in this slow field.

Long Shot – 9 Ansede

Best Bet – 4 Rhythm in May (race 2)

Santa Anita Saturday – Picks/Winners/Mutuels, 20/7/$47.80; Long Shots, 10/0/$0; Best Bet, 1/0/$0

Santa Anita Totals – 189/57/$363.80; Long Shots, 98/13/$123.60; Best Bets, 11/6/$31.00

SIMULCAST PLAY OF THE DAY – 4 Bet To Win (8/5) in race 3 at Keeneland. For scoring purposes, we’ll make a hypothetical $2 win, place and show bet, $6 total. On Saturday, Norm’s Passion ran out at Keeneland. Stats – 160/104/$815.60; follow him on Twitter: @richeng4propick