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NFL BAD BEATS BLOG: Washington, Panthers upsets highlight day

Updated November 15, 2021 - 12:33 am

Welcome to Week 10 of the NFL season.

Top matchups include the Cleveland Browns at the New England Patriots, the Seattle Seahawks at the Green Bay Packers, and the Kansas City Chiefs at the Raiders in the Sunday night game.

Refresh this blog throughout the games to track bad beats, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and more.

UPDATES

8:35 p.m.: That’s it for today. Favorites went 5-6 against the spread, with one game closing pick’em. Three underdogs scored outright upsets, led by Washington, which stunned the Buccaneers 29-19 at +360. Other outright upsets came from the Panthers (+270 at the Cardinals) and the Vikings (+155 at the Chargers). Totals went 7-5 to the under.

Betting results for every game — full game, first half and second half — are listed at the bottom of this story, along with some key boxscore stats.

Thanks for reading. We’ll be back Saturday for college football.

8:25 p.m.: Final prop grades for Chiefs-Raiders:

Team totals: Raiders under 24½ (14), Chiefs over 27½ (41).

General props: Team to score first (Chiefs, -120); first score will be a touchdown (yes, -190); largest lead over 14½ points (27); longest TD under 42½ yards (38); shortest TD under 1½ yards (1, -165); will the game go to overtime (no, -2,000); will there be a defensive or special teams TD (no, -330); will there be a successful 2-point conversion (no, -350); longest field goal under 46½ yards (40); will both teams make 33-yard or longer field goals (no, -120); will there be a lead change in the fourth quarter (no, -310); will either team score three straight times (yes, -220; four by Chiefs); will there be a score in the final two minutes of the first half (yes, -400); will the game be tied again after 0-0 (yes, -120, at 7-7).

Raiders props: Derek Carr under 25½ completions (25), under 36½ attempts (35), under 294½ passing yards (261), longest completion under 38½ yards (38), over 1½ TD passes (2, -185), will throw an interception (yes, -110), over 6 rushing yards (18); Josh Jacobs under 57½ rushing yards (16), over 17½ receiving yards (20), will score a TD (no, -130); Kenyan Drake under 25½ rushing yards (16), under 18½ receiving yards (15), will score a TD (no, -270); Darren Waller under 69½ receiving yards (24), under 5½ receptions (4, +110), will score a TD (no, -150); Hunter Renfrow under 57½ receiving yards (46), over 5½ receptions (7, -130), will score a TD (yes, +190), Bryan Edwards over 38½ receiving yards (88).

Chiefs props: Patrick Mahomes over 26½ completions (35), over 38½ attempts (50), over 289½ passing yards (406), longest completion over 36½ yards (38), over 2½ TD passes (5, +160), will throw an interception (no, -110), under 25½ rushing yards (0); Darrel Williams under 52½ rushing yards (43), will score a TD (yes, +110); Tyreek Hill over 75½ receiving yards (83), over 6½ receptions (7), will score a TD (yes, -110); Mecole Hardman under 39½ receiving yards (27); Travis Kelce over 74½ receiving yards (119), over 6½ receptions (8), will score a TD (no, -110).

8:22 p.m.: FINAL: Chiefs 41, Raiders 14. The Chiefs dominate the second half to cover as 2½-point road favorites, -150 ML. The game goes over 53½.

8:09 p.m.: Mahomes has crushed his yardage prop of 289½ with 406 so far.

8:08 p.m.: Firmly in garbage time now. The Chiefs lead 41-14 with 7:39 left in the fourth quarter.

7:48 p.m.: Williams was +110 to score a TD.

7:47 p.m.: That should do it. Darrel Williams catches a leaping 38-yard TD pass to extend the Chiefs’ lead to 34-14 with 13:11 left in the fourth quarter.

7:41 p.m.: END OF THE THIRD QUARTER: Chiefs 27, Raiders 14.

7:40 p.m.: Carr is intercepted on a throw up for grabs on third down. He was -110 to throw an interception.

7:34 p.m.: Butker hits a 35-yard field goal to extend the Chiefs’ lead to 27-14 with 57 seconds left in the third quarter. The Chiefs are -1,100 on the live line (Raiders +620), spread -9½, total 55½.

7:26 p.m.: DeSean Jackson catches a 40-yard pass, but fumbles. The Chiefs have the ball back leading 24-14 with 5:49 left in the third quarter. The Chiefs are -1,000 on the live line (Raiders +590), spread -9½, total 55½.

7:19 p.m.: Mahomes goes over his prop of 2½ TD passes (+160) after Carr already went over 1½ (-185).

7:18 p.m.: The Chiefs answer. Noah Gray catches a 1-yard TD pass on fourth-and-goal, and the Chiefs lead 24-14 with 7:09 left in the third quarter. The Chiefs are -610 on the live line (Raiders +410), spread -7½, total 56½.

7:06 p.m.: Carr goes over his prop of 1½ TD passes (-185). Edwards is over his prop of 38½ receiving yards with 64 so far. Edwards was +360 to score a TD.

7:05 p.m.: The Raiders come out with purpose. Bryan Edwards catches a 37-yard TD pass, and the Raiders cut the Chiefs’ lead to 17-14 with 12:08 left in the third quarter. The Chiefs are -230 on the live line (Raiders +180), spread -3½, total 55½.

6:47 p.m.: Second-half line: Raiders -3, total 27½.

6:45 p.m.: HALFTIME: Chiefs 17, Raiders 7. First-half winners: Chiefs -1, under 26½. Butker missed a 46-yard field goal on the final play, saving first-half under bettors.

6:34 p.m.: Shortest TD under 1½ yards (-165) also cashes.

6:33 p.m.: There will be a score in the final two minutes of the first half cashes at -400.

6:32 p.m.: Hill catches his second TD of the day, a 1-yarder, to give the Chiefs a 17-7 lead with 1:39 left in the second quarter. The Chiefs are -450 on the live line (Raiders +320), spread -7½, total 52½.

6:26 p.m.: Two-minute warning. Chiefs face fourth-and-1 at the Raiders 3.

6:17 p.m.: The Raiders punt, and the Chiefs have the ball back with a 10-7 lead with 5:58 left in the second quarter. The Chiefs are -225 on the live line (Raiders +176), spread -3½, total 50½.

6:11 p.m.: Harrison Butker kicks a 40-yard field goal, and the Chiefs lead the Raiders 10-7 with 8:24 left in the second quarter. The Chiefs are -166 on the live line (Raiders +132), spread -2½, total 52½.

6:02 p.m.: Renfrow was +190 to score a TD. The game will be tied again after 0-0 cashes at -120.

6:01 p.m.: The Raiders tie it. Hunter Renfrow catches a 6-yard TD pass, and the Raiders get even at 7 with the Chiefs with 12:57 left in the second quarter. The Chiefs are -130 on the live line (Raiders +104), spread -2½, total 52½.

5:55 p.m.: The Raiders forced a fumble on a punt and have the ball at the Chiefs 23 when the quarter begins. The Chiefs are -168 on the live line (Raiders +134), spread -3½, total 51½.

5:54 p.m.: END OF THE FIRST QUARTER: Chiefs 7, Raiders 0. First-quarter winners: Chiefs -½ (+115), under 10 (+105).

5:45 p.m.: Other props that hit on the first TD: Chiefs to score first (-120) and the first score of the game will be a TD (-190).

5:44 p.m.: Hill was 6-1 at the Westgate SuperBook and Circa Sports and +650 at Boyd Gaming to score the first TD. He was -110 to score at any point.

5:43 p.m.: The Chiefs strike first. Tyreek Hill catches an 8-yard TD pass, and the Chiefs lead the Raiders 7-0 with 2:51 left in the first quarter. The Chiefs are -230 on the live line (Raiders +182), spread -5½, total 49½.

5:33 p.m.: The teams trade punts to open the game. The Chiefs have the ball back with 8:36 left in the first quarter and are -142 on the live line (Raiders +114), spread -2½, total 48½.

5:23 p.m.: The game is underway. The Chiefs receive.

5:16 p.m.: The last game is about to kick off:

— Chiefs (-2½ -120, 53½, -150) at Raiders (+130), 5:20 p.m.

4:28 p.m.: FINAL: Packers 17, Seahawks 0. The Packers cover as 3-point home favorites, -165 ML. The game stays well under 49.

4:26 p.m.: FINAL: Eagles 30, Broncos 13. The Eagles win easily on the road in a pick’em game at -110 ML. The game stays under 44½.

4:22 p.m.: FINAL: Vikings 27, Chargers 20. The Vikings win outright as 3½-point road underdogs, +155 ML. The game stays under 53½.

4:08 p.m.: FINAL: Panthers 34, Cardinals 10. The Panthers roll as 7-point road underdogs, +270 ML. The game goes over 41½ on a Panthers field goal with 3:26 left.

3:53 p.m.: First TD scored props for afternoon games:

Panthers-Cardinals: Carolina QB Cam Newton (no odds listed)

Eagles-Broncos: Philadelphia WR DeVonta Smith (12-1)

Vikings-Chargers: Minnesota TE Tyler Conklin (19-1)

Seahawks-Packers: Green Bay RB AJ Dillon (12-1)

3:52 p.m.: The Packers finally get a two-score lead, taking a 10-0 lead on Seattle with 10:37 left in the fourth quarter. The Packers are -1,250 on the live line (Seahawks +680).

3:46 p.m.: The Vikings get some breathing room, extending their lead to 27-17 with 9:29 left in the fourth quarter. The Vikings are -450 on the live line (Chargers +320).

3:33 p.m.: Aaron Rodgers throws an interception in the end zone, and the Packers’ lead stays at 3-0 on the Seahawks with 2:30 left in the third quarter. The Packers are -192 on the live line (Seahawks +152), total 16½.

3:31 p.m.: The Vikings retake the lead at 20-17 on the Chargers with 2:33 left in the third quarter. The game is even at -112 on both sides on the live line.

3:14 p.m.: The Eagles block a field goal to maintain a 20-10 lead on the Broncos with 10:50 left in the third quarter. The Eagles are -610 on the live line (Broncos +410), spread -7½, total 48½.

3:13 p.m.: The Panthers are cruising toward a +270 upset, leading the Cardinals 31-3 with 5:34 left in the third quarter.

2:55 p.m.: Second-half line: Broncos -3, total 21½.

2:53 p.m.: HALFTIME: Eagles 20, Broncos 10. First-half winners: Eagles +½, over 21½.

2:51 p.m.: Second-half line: Packers -½, total 24½.

2:48 p.m.: HALFTIME: Packers 3, Seahawks 0. First-half winners: Packers -2½, under 24.

2:44 p.m.: Second-half line: Chargers -4, total 26½.

2:42 p.m.: HALFTIME: Vikings 13, Chargers 10. First-half winners: Vikings +2½, under 25½, Vikings +140 ML.

2:38 p.m.: Second-half line: Cardinals -3, total 20.

2:35 p.m.: HALFTIME: Panthers 23, Cardinals 0. First-half winners: Panthers +4½, over 20½, Panthers +225 ML. The Panthers kicked a 49-yard field goal on the final play to push the first-half total over.

2:16 p.m.: The Vikings extend their lead to 13-3 over the Chargers with 3:26 left in the second quarter. The Vikings are -184 on the live line (Chargers +146), spread -3½, total 46½.

1:45 p.m.: The Panthers extend their lead to 17-0 over the Cardinals with 1:00 left in the first quarter. The Panthers are -450 on the live line (Cardinals +320), spread -9½, total 48½.

1:41 p.m.: FINAL: Lions 16, Steelers 16 (OT). The game ends in a tie, but the Lions cover as 5½-point road underdogs. The game stays under 40½.

1:26 p.m.: The Panthers came to play. Cam Newton ran for a TD, then threw a TD pass, and the Panthers lead the Cardinals 14-0 with 8:39 left in the first quarter. The Panthers are -235 on the live line (Cardinals +182), spread -5½, total 50½.

1:24 p.m.: FINAL: Bills 45, Jets 17. The Bills roll to the cover as 13-point road favorites, -900 ML. The game goes over 48½.

1:23 p.m.: The Lions miss a 48-yard field goal to win, and the Steelers have the ball back with 4:03 left in overtime.

1:21 p.m.: The next games are about to kick off:

— Eagles (-110) at Broncos (PK, 44½, -110), 1:25 p.m.

— Seahawks (+145) at Packers (-3, 49, -165), 1:25 p.m.

1:18 p.m.: FINAL: Colts 23, Jaguars 17. The Jaguars cover as 10½-point road underdogs, but the Colts win outright at -500 ML. The game stays under 48.

1:10 p.m.: BAD BEAT ALERT: Tough one for Titans backers, who held a 23-12 lead in the fourth quarter. The Saints got a field goal, then scored a TD to cut the lead to 23-21 with 1:16 left. The Saints then missed the 2-point conversion to tie the game, effectively winning bets for their backers.

1:09 p.m.: FINAL: Titans 23, Saints 21. The Saints score a TD with 1:16 left to cover as 3-point road underdogs, but the Titans stop the subsequent 2-point conversion to win outright at -150 ML. The game goes over 42½ on the late Saints TD.

— Saints (+130) at Titans (-3 +100, 42½, -150), 10 a.m.

1:08 p.m.: The Lions and Steelers have gone to overtime tied at 16.

1:05 p.m.: FINAL: Cowboys 43, Falcons 3. The Cowboys dominate as 7½-point home favorites, -360 ML. The game stays under 55.

1:04 p.m.: FINAL: Patriots 45, Browns 7. The Patriots roll as 2½-point home favorites, -145 ML. The game goes over 44½.

1:03 p.m.: FINAL: Washington 29, Buccaneers 19. Washington wins outright as 9½-point home underdogs, +360 ML. The game stays under 50½.

1:02 p.m.: The next games are about to kick off:

— Panthers (+270) at Cardinals (-7, 41½, -330), 1:05 p.m.

— Vikings (+155) at Chargers (-3½ +100, 53½, -175), 1:05 p.m.

12:59 p.m.: Washington is going to upset Tampa Bay. The Football Team scores to extend its lead to 29-19 with 29 seconds left.

12:29 p.m.: The Bucs cut Washington’s lead to 23-19 with 10:55 left in the fourth quarter (extra point failed). Washington is -118 on the live line (Bucs -106), spread -½, total 52½.

12:19 p.m.: The Lions have a chance at their first win. They will punt to start the fourth quarter, clinging to a 16-13 lead over the Steelers. The Steelers are still favored at -148 on the live line (Lions +118), spread -2½, total 39½.

12:13 p.m.: Washington isn’t letting this game slip away. The Football Team scores to extend its lead to 23-13 with 4:21 left in the third quarter. Washington is -180 on the live line (Bucs +142).

12:03 p.m.: The Bucs score to cut Washington’s lead to 16-13 with 8:46 left in the fourth quarter. The Bucs are -205 on the live line (Washington +162), spread -3½, total 49½.

11:44 a.m.: Second-half line: Colts -3½, total 23½.

11:41 a.m.: HALFTIME: Colts 20, Jaguars 9. First-half winners: Colts -6½, over 23½.

11:36 a.m.: Second-half line: Bills -6½, total 23.

11:35 a.m.: HALFTIME: Bills 17, Jets 3. First-half winners: Bills -7, under 24.

11:31 a.m.: Second-half lines:

Falcons -½, total 24½

Saints -½, total 21

11:29 a.m.: HALFTIME: Cowboys 36, Falcons 3. First-half winners: Cowboys -4½, over 27.

11:28 a.m.: HALFTIME: Titans 13, Saints 6. First-half winners: Titans -1½, under 20½.

11:26 a.m.: Second-half lines:

Browns -½, total 21½

Bucs -7½, total 26½

11:24 a.m.: HALFTIME: Patriots 24, Browns 7. First-half winners: Patriots -1, over 21½.

11:23 a.m.: HALFTIME: Washington 16, Buccaneers 6. First-half winners: Washington +6, under 25½, Washington +250 ML.

11:20 a.m.: Second-half line: Steelers -3, total 20.

11:17 a.m.: HALFTIME: Steelers 10, Lions 10. First-half winners: Lions +3, total pushes on 20. The Lions kicked a 20-yard field goal on the final play to cover the first-half spread and push the first-half total.

11:01 a.m.: The Cowboys are rolling. Ezekiel Elliott scores his second TD of the day to extend the Cowboys’ lead to 21-3 with 8:07 left in the second quarter. The Cowboys are -4,000 on the live line (Falcons +1,200), spread -20½, total 57½.

10:57 a.m.: The Patriots extend their lead to 21-7 with 5:40 left in the second quarter. The Patriots are -850 on the live line (Browns +530), spread -12½, total 55½.

10:47 a.m.: First TD scored prop results:

Falcons-Cowboys: Dallas WR CeeDee Lamb (+850)

Bills-Jets: Buffalo RB Matt Breida (33-1)

Lions-Steelers: Pittsburgh WR James Washington (15-1)

Browns-Patriots: Cleveland TE Austin Hooper (17-1)

Jaguars-Colts: Indianapolis defense/special teams (blocked punt) (18-1)

Buccaneers-Washington: Washington WR DeAndre Carter (50-1)

Saints-Titans: New Orleans WR Tre’Quan Smith (21-0)

10:41 a.m.: Washington has jumped on the Buccaneers. Washington leads 13-0 with 12:21 left in the second quarter and is now favored at -128 on the live line (Tampa Bay +102), spread -2½, total 50½.

10:17 a.m.: The Colts recover a blocked punt for a TD and lead the Jaguars 10-0 with 8:23 left in the first quarter. The Colts’ defense/special teams was 18-1 to score the first TD of the game.

10:08 a.m.: The Cowboys strike first. CeeDee Lamb catches a 13-yard TD pass, and the Cowboys lead the Falcons 7-0 with 11:42 left in the first quarter. The Cowboys are -550 on the live line (Falcons +375), spread -11½, total 58½.

9:58 a.m.: The first games are about to kick off:

— Falcons (+300) at Cowboys (-7½, 55, -360), 10 a.m.

— Saints (+130) at Titans (-3 +100, 42½, -150), 10 a.m.

— Jaguars (+400) at Colts (-10½, 48, -500), 10 a.m.

— Browns (+125) at Patriots (-2½, 44½, -145), 10 a.m.

— Bills (-13, 48½, -900) at Jets (+600), 10 a.m.

— Lions (+210) at Steelers (-5½, 40½, -250), 10 a.m.

— Buccaneers (-9½, 50½, -430) at Washington (+360), 10 a.m.

9:40 a.m.: Here are the biggest line moves this morning:

Saints-Titans total from 44 to 42½

Bills-Jets total from 47½ to 48½

Lions from +6½ to +5½

Panthers from +9½ to +7½

Panthers-Cardinals total from 43 to 41½

Eagles-Broncos total from 45½ to 44½

TODAY’S SCHEDULE

COMPLETED

— Cowboys 43, Falcons 3 (at Dallas)

Full-game winners: Cowboys -7½, under 55, Cowboys -360 ML

First-half winners: Cowboys -4½, over 27 (Cowboys 36-3)

Second-half winners: Cowboys +½, under 24½ (Cowboys 7-0)

Yards per play: Cowboys 6.0, Falcons 4.0 (Cowboys lead 431-214 in total yards)

Turnovers: Cowboys +2 (3-1); Cowboys also recovered a blocked punt for a TD

Biggest lead: Cowboys 43-3; Falcons never led

— Titans 23, Saints 21 (at Tennessee)

Full-game winners: Saints +3 (-120), over 42½, Titans -150 ML

First-half winners: Titans -1½, under 20½ (Titans 13-6)

Second-half winners: Saints -½, over 21 (Saints 15-10)

Yards per play: Titans 4.6, Saints 6.1 (Saints lead 373-264 in total yards)

Turnovers: Titans +1 (1-0)

Biggest lead: Titans 20-6; Saints 6-3 (only lead; also tied 6-6)

— Colts 23, Jaguars 17 (at Indianapolis)

Full-game winners: Jaguars +10½, under 48, Colts -500 ML

First-half winners: Colts -6½, over 23½ (Colts 20-9)

Second-half winners: Jaguars +3½, under 23½ (Jaguars 8-3)

Yards per play: Colts 4.8, Jaguars 5.3 (Jaguars lead 331-295 in total yards)

Turnovers: Colts +1 (1-0); Colts also returned a blocked punt for a TD

Biggest lead: Colts 17-0; Jaguars never led

— Patriots 45, Browns 7 (at New England)

Full-game winners: Patriots -2½, over 44½, Patriots -145 ML

First-half winners: Patriots -1, over 21½ (Patriots 24-7)

Second-half winners: Patriots +½, under 21½ (Patriots 21-0)

Yards per play: Patriots 7.3, Browns 3.7 (Patriots lead 452-217 in total yards)

Turnovers: Patriots +1 (1-0)

Biggest lead: Patriots 45-7; Browns 7-0 (only lead; tied 7-7)

— Bills 45, Jets 17 (at New York)

Full-game winners: Bills -13, over 48½, Bills -900 ML

First-half winners: Bills -7, under 24 (Bills 17-3)

Second-half winners: Bills -6½, over 23 (Bills 28-14)

Yards per play: Bills 9.1, Jets 5.2 (Bills lead 489-366 in total yards)

Turnovers: Bills +3 (5-2)

Biggest lead: Bills 38-3 and 45-10; Jets never led

— Lions 16, Steelers 16 (OT) (at Pittsburgh)

Full-game winners: Lions +5½, under 40½, no ML winner

First-half winners: Lions +3, total pushes on 20 (tied 10-10)

Second-half winners: Lions +3, under 20 (tied 6-6)

Yards per play: Lions 4.5, Steelers 4.8 (Steelers lead 387-306 in total yards)

Turnovers: Lions +3 (3-0)

Biggest lead: Lions 16-10; Steelers 7-0

— Washington 29, Buccaneers 19 (at Washington)

Full-game winners: Washington +9½, under 50½, Washington +360 ML

First-half winners: Washington +6, under 25½ (Washington 16-6)

Second-half winners: Washington +7½, under 26½ (tied 13-13)

Yards per play: Washington 4.5, Bucs 5.8 (Washington leads 320-273 in total yards)

Turnovers: Washington +1 (2-1)

Biggest lead: Washington 13-0 and 16-3; Bucs never led

— Panthers 34, Cardinals 10 (at Arizona)

Full-game winners: Panthers +7, over 41½, Panthers +270 ML

First-half winners: Panthers +4½, over 20½ (Panthers 23-0)

Second-half winners: Panthers +3, over 20 (Panthers 11-10)

Yards per play: Panthers 4.9, Cardinals 3.2 (Panthers lead 341-169 in total yards)

Turnovers: Even (2-2)

Biggest lead: Panthers 31-3; Cardinals never led

— Vikings 27, Chargers 20 (at Los Angeles)

Full-game winners: Vikings +3½ (-120), under 53½, Vikings +155 ML

First-half winners: Vikings +2½, under 25½ (Vikings 13-10)

Second-half winners: Vikings +4, under 26½ (Vikings 14-10)

Yards per play: Vikings 5.3, Chargers 4.6 (Vikings lead 381-253 in total yards)

Turnovers: Even (1-1)

Biggest lead: Vikings 13-3 and 27-17; Chargers 17-13 (only lead; tied 3-3)

— Eagles 30, Broncos 13 (at Denver)

Full-game winners: Eagles PK, under 44½, Eagles -110 ML

First-half winners: Eagles +½, over 21½ (Eagles 20-10)

Second-half winners: Eagles +3, under 21½ (Eagles 10-3)

Yards per play: Eagles 6.0, Broncos 5.6 (Eagles lead 386-308 in total yards)

Turnovers: Even (1-1); Eagles had an 83-yard fumble return for a TD

Biggest lead: Eagles 30-13; Broncos never led (tied 10-10)

— Packers 17, Seahawks 0 (at Green Bay)

Full-game winners: Packers -3, under 49, Packers -165 ML

First-half winners: Packers -2½, under 24 (Packers 3-0)

Second-half winners: Packers -½, under 24½ (Packers 14-0)

Yards per play: Packers 5.6, Seahawks 3.5 (Packers lead 393-208 in total yards)

Turnovers: Packers +1 (2-1)

Biggest lead: Packers 17-0; Seahawks never led

— Chiefs 41, Raiders 14 (at Las Vegas)

Full-game winners: Chiefs -2½ (-120), over 53½, Chiefs -150 ML

First-half winners: Chiefs -1, under 26½ (Chiefs 17-7)

Second-half winners: Chiefs +3, over 27½ (Chiefs 24-7)

Yards per play: Chiefs 6.8, Raiders 5.9 (Chiefs lead 516-299 in total yards)

Turnovers: Chiefs +1 (2-1)

Biggest lead: Chiefs 41-14; Raiders never led (tied 7-7)

Contact Jim Barnes at jbarnes@reviewjournal.com or 702-383-0277. Follow @JimBarnesLV on Twitter.

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