NFL Betting Breakdown: Bruce Marshall

Denver (2-0) at Cincinnati (1-1)

Time/TV: 10 a.m., KLAS (8)

Line/Total: Bengals -3½, 42

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: These teams met with major playoff implications in Denver in December, when the opposing quarterbacks were AJ McCarron and Brock Osweiler. Now it’s Andy Dalton versus Trevor Siemian. But before conceding an edge to the Bengals, note that Siemian can rely upon a Super Bowl-winning defense that already has beaten Cam Newton and Andrew Luck and that figures to get in the face of Dalton, who has been under heavy pressure previously from the Jets and Steelers.

By the numbers: The Bengals are not yet running well enough (2.8 yards per carry) to keep Dalton out of trouble. … As Broncos coach, Gary Kubiak is 6-0-1 against the spread as an underdog.

Marshall’s pick: Broncos, 23-20

Oakland (1-1) at Tennessee (1-1)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Raiders -1, 47

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: The Raiders’ Mountain West-style defense is mimicking UNLV’s after Oakland has allowed a whopping 35 points per game versus the Saints and Falcons. Tennessee will play it differently, as its new “Thunder & Thunder” DeMarco Murray-Derrick Henry duo will use some smash-mouth running against the yielding Oakland front. The Titans’ fightback win at Detroit is a confidence builder for Marcus Mariota. Dick LeBeau’s defense wants another crack at Derek Carr after last year’s bitter late loss.

By the numbers: Carr ranks seventh in the NFL in passing yards (618) to go with four touchdowns and no interceptions. … Oakland ranks last in the league in total defense by allowing 517.5 yards per game. … The Raiders are 7-3 ATS since late last season.

Marshall’s pick: Titans, 27-23

Arizona (1-1) at Buffalo (0-2)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Cardinals -4, 47

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: The next dismissal at Buffalo might be coach Rex Ryan, after offensive coordinator Greg Roman was thrown under the bus following a loss to the Jets. Firing coordinators after Week 2 is rarely a positive, especially since it was Ryan and his underachieving defense that perhaps deserved to be tossed over Niagara Falls after making Jets quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick look like vintage Joe Namath. Now, Ryan and twin brother Rob’s disorganized unit will look like red meat for still-healthy Carson Palmer and his collection of big-play targets, who finally got on the same page last week in a blowout of the Buccaneers.

By the numbers: Palmer has five touchdown passes and no interceptions. … The Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their past 10 regular-season road games.

Marshall’s pick: Cardinals, 31-22

Baltimore (2-0) at Jacksonville (0-2)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Pick, 47

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: The seat is getting a bit warmer under Jaguars coach Gus Bradley, with owner Shad Khan reportedly growing increasingly impatient to see the team turn the corner. Perhaps the expected availability of running back Chris Ivory (illness first two weeks) will goose the offense and provide needed balance for Blake Bortles, who’s still dogged by bad habits, as his career interception total has ballooned to 36 after three more picks in the first two weeks. On the maturity and poise scale, Bortles is still way behind Joe Flacco, who calmly steered Baltimore back from a 20-2 deficit to win at Cleveland.

By the numbers: Jacksonville is 12-38 straight up under Bradley. … Baltimore ranks No. 2 in total defense by allowing 273.5 yards per game.

Marshall’s pick: Ravens, 28-23

Cleveland (0-2) at Miami (0-2)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Dolphins -9½, 42

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: No word if the Browns have re-established contact with Frank Ryan or Brian Sipe to help with their quickly depleted quarterback situation, as Josh McCown’s injured shoulder will force Southern Cal rookie Cody Kessler into battle this week. The Browns might have whiffed on their best chance for a win for a while after blowing a 20-point lead against the Ravens. The new Adam Gase-designed attack, led by Ryan Tannehill, should take advantage of the leaky Cleveland defense after facing the playoff-tested Seahawks and Patriots on the road.

By the numbers: Cleveland ranks 28th in scoring offense (15 points per game), ahead of only Chicago, Houston, Seattle and Los Angeles. … The Browns are on 2-9-1 spread skid. … Miami is 5-11 as a home favorite since 2013.

Marshall’s pick: Dolphins, 27-16

Washington (0-2) at N.Y. Giants (2-0)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Giants -3½, 46

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: Jay Gruden saved his job last year with a late rally that won the NFC East. But it’s worth noting his Redskins have been only a 32 percent play ATS (10-21) save for that final month of the season when the division collapsed around them. Now Gruden’s team is about to lose touch with the rejuvenated Giants. New York is not yet blowing close games for new coach Ben McAdoo as it did under Tom Coughlin last year. But the Giants are decidedly low variance, with their ball-control version of the West Coast offense keeping games tight, while the augmented New York defense is improved.

By the numbers: The Giants’ Eli Manning leads the NFL in completion percentage (73.9). … New York is 5-1 straight up and ATS in the past six versus Washington.

Marshall’s pick: Giants, 19-18

Detroit (1-1) at Green Bay (1-1)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Packers -7, 47½

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: The Lions finally won in Wisconsin last year, after 24 years of futility, when the Packers’ Mason Crosby missed a 52-yard field goal at the end. Detroit almost had a series sweep, only to lose the rematch three weeks later on perhaps the most majestic of Hail Mary passes, tossed by Aaron Rodgers. After two straight on the road, Green Bay is finally back at Lambeau Field, with a healthy Jordy Nelson and a quicker Eddie Lacy. Look for Rodgers to be more careful after he was too loose with the ball last week at Minnesota.

By the numbers: Matthew Stafford completed 67.1 percent of his passes for 600 yards and four touchdowns in the Lions’ first two games. … Green Bay went 4-4 ATS as a home favorite last year.

Marshall’s pick: Packers, 29-17

Minnesota (2-0) at Carolina (1-1)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Total: Panthers -7, 42

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: Adrian Peterson’s knee injury could limit the running attack, but the quick arrival of Sam Bradford gave the Vikings’ aerial dimension a boost. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs is a darting force when healthy. Trading points with Cam Newton won’t be easy. But the Vikings have a well-schooled and prideful defense that will make things difficult for Newton, especially if the Panthers take this game lightly after last week’s 46-point outpouring against San Francisco.

By the numbers: The Vikings are 11-1 ATS in their past 12 as underdogs for coach Mike Zimmer. … Bradford passed for 286 yards in his first start for Minnesota. … Diggs had nine receptions for 182 yards against Green Bay.

Marshall’s pick: Panthers, 29-24

San Francisco (1-1) at Seattle (1-1)

Time: 1:05 p.m., KVVU (5)

Line/Total: Seahawks -9½, 41

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: It’s not yet business as usual for Seattle, which in recent years has dominated this series. San Francisco has not covered a spread versus the Seahawks in the Russell Wilson era. But this is not high tide for Seattle, with a leaky offensive line and Wilson’s aching ankle limiting the offense to a mere 15 points in two games. There is nothing wrong with Pete Carroll’s defense, which should keep Blaine Gabbert on the run. But so far 49ers coach Chip Kelly is squeezing a lot from his various spare parts on the roster. Until Wilson is again at 100 percent, I’m reluctant to back the favored Seahawks.

By the numbers: Wilson has one touchdown pass, and he has been sacked five times. … The 49ers-Seahawks series is 6-1 under the total in the past seven.

Marshall’s pick: Seahawks, 19-16

Los Angeles (1-1) at Tampa Bay (1-1)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/Total: Buccaneers -5, 41½

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: With this game, the Rams start experiencing one of the negatives of their move from St. Louis to L.A., as they begin racking up the air miles, which will include a trip to London in a month. Considering the Rams have yet to manufacture a touchdown, I prefer to shade the considerable weapons of Tampa Bay, even with running back Doug Martin out. But young Charles Sims is not a bad replacement, and L.A. can only dream about having downfield receivers such as the Bucs’ Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson.

By the numbers: Rams coach Jeff Fisher is 2-7-1 ATS in his past 10 on the road. … Tampa Bay split its first two road games with Jameis Winston throwing five touchdown passes and five interceptions.

Marshall’s pick: Buccaneers, 28-13

Pittsburgh (2-0) at Philadelphia (2-0)

Time/TV: 1:25 p.m., KLAS (8)

Line/Total: Steelers -3½, 46½

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: The Philadelphia defense of coordinator Jim Schwartz had great success against Cleveland in the opener and Chicago last week. Against the proven veterans of the Pittsburgh attack, the Eagles’ defensive backs figure to be in for a long afternoon. The Pittsburgh defense is still going through some changes, but it’s too much to ask rookie Carson Wentz to match aerials with Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown.

By the numbers: Wentz has passed for 468 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. … The Steelers are on a 10-3 ATS run as road favorites.

Marshall’s pick: Steelers, 23-16

N.Y. Jets (1-1) at Kansas City (1-1)

Time: 1:25 p.m.

Line/Total: Chiefs -3, 42

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: Jets coach Todd Bowles and quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick are 5-0 as underdogs since getting together at the beginning of last year. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are still trying to make due with impact players such as running back Jamaal Charles and linebackers Tamba Hali and Justin Houston either out or less than 100 percent healthy. The physical, well-rested New York defensive line should keep the running game in check and quarterback Alex Smith under repeated pressure.

By the numbers: Smith has been sacked seven times for a Chiefs offense that ranks 17th in the league. … The Jets rank No. 4 in total offense. … Kansas City is 3-6 ATS as a home favorite since last year.

Marshall’s pick: Jets, 27-20

San Diego (1-1) at Indianapolis (0-2)

Time: 1:25 p.m.

Line/Total: Colts -1½, 51

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: San Diego is once again without star wideout Keenan Allen and mighty mite running back Danny Woodhead. But quick-slinging Philip Rivers is 5-1 ATS versus the Colts. At one point last week in Denver, Indianapolis’ defense was down five cornerbacks. Now quarterback Andrew Luck is banged up. Former Cleveland speedster Travis Benjamin had two touchdown receptions last week to help Rivers, who’s finally throwing behind a healthy offensive line.

By the numbers: The Chargers are 19-8-1 as road underdogs since 2012. … Melvin Gordon rushed for 102 yards in San Diego’s victory over Jacksonville.

Marshall’s pick: Chargers, 27-24

Chicago (0-2) at Dallas (1-1)

Time/TV: 5:30 p.m., KSNV (3)

Line/Total: Cowboys -7, 44½

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: Jerry Jones and the Cowboys are always interesting. After all, they have to put on a good show in their massive dome in order to keep the value of the franchise atop the list of all NFL teams. But QB injuries, a vulnerable defense, some whiffs on draft choices and widespread fan popularity have combined to make the Cowboys quite a bit overpriced as home favorites — 8-27 in the regular season the past six-plus years. The Bears plan to start Brian Hoyer at quarterback in place of injured Jay Cutler.

By the numbers: Dallas rookies Dak Prescott (292 yards passing) and Ezekiel Elliott (83 yards rushing) led a win at Washington last week. … Prescott has 75 pass attempts with no touchdowns or interceptions.

Marshall’s pick: Cowboys, 22-20

Atlanta (1-1) at New Orleans (0-2)

Time/TV: 5:30 p.m. Monday, ESPN

Line/Total: Saints -3, 53½

Bruce Marshall’s analysis: Don’t underestimate the intensity of the New Orleans-Atlanta rivalry. The Saints have lost starting corners Delvin Breaux and P.J. Williams. That’s trouble against the explosive Julio Jones. But it’s do or die for the 0-2 Saints, who have lost in the closing seconds each of their first two games. You’ll get the best they have, even though their past Superdome magic has diminished along with their defense. But highly competitive coach Sean Payton and quarterback Drew Brees should have some fun against an Atlanta defense that allowed six touchdown passes in the first two games

By the numbers: Atlanta is 1-15 straight up and 7-9 ATS on the road on “Monday Night Football” … New Orleans is 4-10-1 as a Superdome favorite since 2014.

Marshall’s pick: Saints, 31-24